METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
61%
Andrade
39%
Kowalkiewicz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:58
★ Official Result
Jessica AndradewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:58
def. Karolina Kowalkiewicz · UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Andrade
→
Actual result
Andrade wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Andrade holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Kowalkiewicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kowalkiewicz has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AndradeKowalkiewicz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
62"
Reach
+64"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
32.7
49.4
Performance Avg
35.6
45
Quality of Victory
28
79
Momentum Score
40
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
0.9
/ 10
5.4
Style: Pressure
2.2
4.9
Style: Volume
8.1
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
15
4
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
31Distance18
7Clinch6
0Ground0
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
1.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
11%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
AndradeKowalkiewicz
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedKowalkiewicz
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (84% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (63% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Kowalkiewicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
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L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernKO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoDecision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05