UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till
Dallas, USA
8 Sept 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
61%
Andrade
39%
Kowalkiewicz
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:58
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Andrade
Andrade holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Kowalkiewicz has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Andrade has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Andrade has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Andrade's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kowalkiewicz has a chin rating of 20 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'1"
Height
+5'3"
62"
Reach
+64"
34+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.0
32.7
49.4
Performance Avg
35.6
45
Quality of Victory
28
79
Momentum Score
40
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.1
2.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.9
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
32
Head
15
4
Body
5
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
31Distance18
7Clinch6
0Ground0
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
20
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
11%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Andrade
Kowalkiewicz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.9
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
1.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
AndradeKowalkiewicz
Strike Zones
Andrade
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedKowalkiewicz
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Andrade targets the head (84% of attacks) — Kowalkiewicz absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Kowalkiewicz targets the head (63% of attacks) — Andrade absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Andrade
RND
Kowalkiewicz
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Andrade · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kowalkiewicz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Andrade · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 6Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Sub · R1
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 2.4Submission
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Natalia SilvaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Mackenzie DernRating 6.5KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira · 2023-11
Kowalkiewicz · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Julia PolastriRating 4.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Denise GomesRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Iasmin LucindoRating 6.4Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Diana BelbitaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Vanessa DemopoulosRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill · 2023-05