METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Las Vegas, USA
8 Jul 2023
Bantamweight
VS
94%
Saaiman
6%
Mitchell
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:10
★ Official Result
Cameron SaaimanwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:10
def. Terrence Mitchell · UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Saaiman
→
Actual result
Saaiman wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Saaiman is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Saaiman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Risk flags
Saaiman's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mitchell has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SaaimanMitchell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Saaiman
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+74"
25+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Saaiman
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.3
3.4
47.0
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
75
Momentum Score
0
Saaiman
Mitchell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
3.7
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
3
3
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
4Clinch2
14Ground1
Saaiman
Mitchell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saaiman
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/12 fights
Chin rating based on
2/18 fights
Saaiman
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Saaiman
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Saaiman
Mitchell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SaaimanMitchell
Strike Zones
Saaiman
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedMitchell
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Saaiman targets the head (83% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (100% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Saaiman
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0
Saaiman · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Malcolm WellmakerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Payton TalbottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Christian RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · KO · R1
Terrence MitchellKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
W · Dec · R3
Mana MartinezDecision
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
Mitchell · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Raul Rosas Jr.KO/TKO
Noche UFC: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
L · KO · R1
Cameron SaaimanKO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07