UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2
Killeen, USA
22 Jan 2011
Lightweight
VS
84%
Lowe
16%
Freire
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
WL
Waylon Lowe
16 – 7
5'7"Southpaw45 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
WF
Willamy Freire
"Chiquerim"
26 – 6
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox5'8"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lowe

Lowe is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Lowe has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Freire throws more volume but Lowe connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lowe's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Lowe
Freire
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
45
Age
+38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Lowe
Freire
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
2.7
35.0
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
61
Momentum Score
0
Lowe
Freire
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
52%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
14
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground13
Lowe
Freire
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Lowe
Freire
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/23 fights
Chin rating based on
1/32 fights
Lowe
Freire
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
0
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Lowe
Freire
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lowe
Freire
Striking1.0 / 0.0Volume9.0 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Lowe
Strike Zones
Freire
Lowe
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Freire
Attacking
14HEAD2BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lowe targets the head (100% of attacks) — Freire absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Freire targets the head (82% of attacks) — Lowe absorbs 82% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lowe
RND
Freire
0/0R00/0

Lowe · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0101.5L4.5W4.5W4.0L2010-052010-092011-012011-03
WinLossTrend

Lowe · Last 4

L · Sub · R3
Nik LentzRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
W · Dec · R3
Willamy FreireRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01
W · Dec · R3
Steve LopezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop · 2010-09
L · KO · R1
Melvin GuillardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans · 2010-05

Freire · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Waylon LoweRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the Troops 2 · 2011-01

News & Media

Waylon Lowe · Willamy Freire
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