UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
Las Vegas, USA
15 Aug 2020
Heavyweight
VS
25%
Santos
75%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:47
JD
Junior Dos Santos
"Cigano"
21 – 9
6'4"77" reachOrthodox42 yrs4-fight slideStriker
CFR 19
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rozenstruik

Rozenstruik is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 38 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Santos throws more volume but Rozenstruik connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Santos's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Santos
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
77"
Reach
+78"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Santos
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
57.0
57.8
Performance Avg
56.7
53
Quality of Victory
54
59
Momentum Score
56
Santos
Rozenstruik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
50%
Strike Accuracy
53%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
10 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
17
6
Body
0
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
11Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground12
Santos
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Santos
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
4 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
7
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.1 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Santos
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
56
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Santos
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
89%
10
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Santos
Rozenstruik
Striking8.0 / 10.0Volume4.0 / 2.1Grappling0.8 / 0.3Wrestling0.6 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure6.6 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Santos
Strike Zones
Rozenstruik
Santos
Attacking
4HEAD6BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD0BODY7LEGS24 absorbed
Rozenstruik
Attacking
17HEAD0BODY7LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD6BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Santos targets the body (55% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (71% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Santos
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.0W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W5.1W5.5L5.5W4.0L5.6W2.8L4.5W2.6L4.5W5.5W6.3W1.9L3.1L3.8L4.5L2008-102011-062014-122019-032020-12
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Santos · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Ciryl GaneRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno · 2020-12
L · KO · R2
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3 · 2020-08
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Dos Santos · 2020-01
L · KO · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Junior Dos Santos · Jairzinho Rozenstruik
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