METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
27%
Rua
73%
Jones
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:37
★ Official Result
Jon JoneswinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:37
def. Mauricio Rua · UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jones
→
Actual result
Jones wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Jones is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RuaJones
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Rua
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+84"
44
Age
+39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.6
70.9
49.7
Performance Avg
74.6
51
Quality of Victory
61
46
Momentum Score
100
Rua
Jones
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.2
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
6.7
3.1
Style: Volume
5.5
8 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
21
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch2
0Ground19
Rua
Jones
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
24/29 fights
Rua
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
19-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Rua
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
55%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Rua
Jones
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
RuaJones
Strike Zones
Rua
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedJones
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (88% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Rua
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Rua · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaKO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigKO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul CraigDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11
Jones · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicKO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesDecision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithDecision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03