★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
Newark, USA
19 Mar 2011
Light Heavyweight
VS
33%
Rua
67%
Jones
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:37
MR
Mauricio Rua
"Shogun"
27 – 14
6'1"76" reachOrthodox44 yrs3-fight slideStriker
CFR 35
Jon
Jon Jones
"Bones"
28 – 1
Well-Rounded19-fight win streak38 yrsOrthodox84" reach6'4"
CFR 71

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jones

Jones holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Rua has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jones has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Rua's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rua
Jones
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+84"
44
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Rua
Jones
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.0
70.9
49.7
Performance Avg
74.6
51
Quality of Victory
61
46
Momentum Score
100
Rua
Jones
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
58%
8.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
8 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
21
0
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch2
0Ground19
Rua
Jones
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.7
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.7
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Rua
Jones
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/41 fights
Chin rating based on
24/29 fights
Rua
Jones
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
46
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
19-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Rua
Jones
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
73%
55%
8
KO / TKO Wins
6
0
Submission Wins
6
3
Decision Wins
10

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Rua
Jones
Striking8.2 / 4.6Volume3.1 / 5.5Grappling0.7 / 3.3Wrestling0.5 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.7Pressure6.5 / 6.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
0.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
0.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.7
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.7
3.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Rua
Strike Zones
Jones
Rua
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD2BODY1LEGS24 absorbed
Jones
Attacking
21HEAD2BODY1LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Rua targets the head (100% of attacks) — Jones absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Jones targets the head (88% of attacks) — Rua absorbs 88% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Rua
RND
Jones
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Rua · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.0L5.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.4W5.5L1.5L5.0W2.8L2.1L4.5W4.5W5.5W2.7L6.5W4.5W3.5L6.1L1.5L2007-092011-082014-032018-122023-01
WinLossTrend

Jones · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W4.5W5.2W4.0L5.0W5.0W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.1W4.5W5.4W5.0W4.5W4.9W4.5W5.1W5.2W5.7W4.5W5.5W6.8W6.3W2008-082011-022013-042019-032024-11
WinLossTrend

Rua · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ihor PotieriaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · KO · R2
Paul CraigRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Rogerio NogueiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Upcoming
Paul Craig
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Jacare · 2019-11

Jones · Last 5

W · KO · R3
Stipe MiocicRating 6.3
KO/TKO
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Ciryl GaneRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
W · Dec · R5
Dominick ReyesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes · 2020-02
W · Dec · R5
Thiago SantosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
W · Dec · R5
Anthony SmithRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03

News & Media

Mauricio Rua · Jon Jones
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