METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
50%
Stirling
50%
Bellato
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Navajo StirlingwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Rodolfo Bellato · UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stirling
→
Actual result
Stirling wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Stirling at 50% vs Bellato at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Bellato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
StirlingBellato
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Stirling
Bellato
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stirling
Bellato
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.1
69.8
64.5
Performance Avg
61.2
41
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
78
Stirling
Bellato
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
7.0
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
9.0
6.0
Style: Volume
1.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
15
Body
6
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
26Distance20
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Stirling
Bellato
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stirling
Bellato
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/9 fights
Chin rating based on
6/16 fights
Stirling
Bellato
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
6-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Upcoming
Stirling
Bellato
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stirling
Bellato
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
StirlingBellato
Strike Zones
Stirling
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedBellato
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stirling targets the body (54% of attacks) — Bellato absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Bellato targets the head (55% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 55% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stirling
RND
Bellato
0/0R00/0
Stirling · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jan BlachowiczKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · 2026-08
W · KO · R2
Ion CutelabaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanDecision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
Bellato · Last 5
Upcoming
Christian EdwardsUFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
W · KO · R1
Luke FernandezKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Navajo StirlingDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
Upcoming
Paul CraigUFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
Upcoming
Jimmy CruteDecision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02