UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
Perth, Australia
27 Sept 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
48%
Stirling
52%
Bellato
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Navajo
Navajo Stirling
9 – 0
6'4"79" reachOrthodox28 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 66
Rodolfo
Rodolfo Bellato
"Trator"
13 – 3
Knockout Artist30 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'3"
CFR 70

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Bellato

This is a genuine toss-up — Stirling at 48% vs Bellato at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Bellato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Bellato has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Stirling
Bellato
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
75"
28+
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stirling
Bellato
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
65.7
69.8
59.5
Performance Avg
61.2
33
Quality of Victory
58
100
Momentum Score
78
Stirling
Bellato
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.4
3.9
56%
Strike Accuracy
64%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
12
15
Body
6
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
26Distance20
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Stirling
Bellato
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stirling
Bellato
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/9 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Stirling
Bellato
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Stirling
Bellato
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Stirling
Bellato
Striking4.5 / 10.0Volume8.0 / 1.3Grappling1.8 / 0.0Wrestling1.3 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 9.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
Stirling
Strike Zones
Bellato
Stirling
Attacking
12HEAD15BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY4LEGS22 absorbed
Bellato
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY4LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD15BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Stirling targets the body (54% of attacks) — Bellato absorbs 54% of strikes there
🎯Bellato targets the head (55% of attacks) — Stirling absorbs 55% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Stirling
RND
Bellato
0/0R00/0

Stirling · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W4.5W6.2W5.2W2024-122025-052025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Bellato · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W7.0L5.0W2023-122025-092026-03
WinLossTrend

Stirling · Last 5

Upcoming
Ion Cutelaba
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R2
Bruno LopesRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Rodolfo BellatoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Ivan ErslanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Tuco TokkosRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12

Bellato · Last 5

W · KO · R1
Luke FernandezRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Navajo StirlingRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
Upcoming
Paul Craig
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
Upcoming
Jimmy Crute
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R2
Ihor PotieriaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12

News & Media

Navajo Stirling · Rodolfo Bellato
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