★ Championship Bout · Women's Featherweight
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Women's Featherweight
VS
58%
Nunes
42%
Spencer
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nunes
This is a genuine toss-up — Nunes at 58% vs Spencer at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Spencer has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Spencer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Nunes's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Nunes
Spencer
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
37
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nunes
Spencer
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
58.2
41.9
75.2
Performance Avg
67.0
66
Quality of Victory
78
100
Momentum Score
85
Nunes
Spencer
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
60%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.7
7 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
4
0
Body
1
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch0
11Ground1
Nunes
Spencer
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nunes
Spencer
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
15 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/28 fights
Chin rating based on
6/12 fights
Nunes
Spencer
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Nunes
Spencer
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nunes
Spencer
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
7.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.0
NunesSpencer
Strike Zones
Nunes
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSpencer
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nunes targets the head (82% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Spencer targets the head (67% of attacks) — Nunes absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nunes
RND
Spencer
0/0R00/0
Nunes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Spencer · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Nunes · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Irene AldanaRating 5.3Decision
UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana · 2023-06
W · Dec · R5
Julianna PenaRating 6Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Sub · R2
Julianna PenaRating 3.7Submission
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Sub · R1
Megan AndersonRating 5Submission
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R5
Felicia SpencerRating 4.8Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Spencer · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Leah LetsonRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Rodriguez · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Norma DumontRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
L · Dec · R5
Amanda NunesRating 6.7Decision
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
W · KO · R1
Zarah FairnRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Cristiane JustinoRating 5.5Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07