METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Lightweight
VS
51%
Trinaldo
49%
Makdessi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 51% vs Makdessi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Makdessi has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoMakdessi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
47
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
30.9
48.6
Performance Avg
42.2
35
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
51
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
5
Body
4
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
22Distance21
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
27%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
TrinaldoMakdessi
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMakdessi
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Makdessi targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Makdessi
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Makdessi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03