METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Lightweight
VS
51%
Trinaldo
49%
Makdessi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Francisco TrinaldowinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. John Makdessi · UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Trinaldo
→
Actual result
Trinaldo wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 51% vs Makdessi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Makdessi has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
TrinaldoMakdessi
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
48
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
30.9
48.6
Performance Avg
42.2
35
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
51
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
3.6
6.3
Style: Volume
6.9
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
5
Body
4
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
22Distance21
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
27%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
TrinaldoMakdessi
Strike Zones
Trinaldo
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedMakdessi
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Makdessi targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Trinaldo
RND
Makdessi
0/0R00/0
Trinaldo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Jai HerbertKO/TKO
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Makdessi · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastDecision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoDecision
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