UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Lightweight
VS
51%
Trinaldo
49%
Makdessi
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
FT
Francisco Trinaldo
"Massaranduba"
28 – 9
5'9"70" reachSouthpaw47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 32
JM
John Makdessi
"The Bull"
18 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Trinaldo

This is a genuine toss-up — Trinaldo at 51% vs Makdessi at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Makdessi has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Trinaldo's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Makdessi has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Trinaldo
Makdessi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
70"+
Reach
68"
47
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.7
30.9
48.6
Performance Avg
42.2
35
Quality of Victory
34
100
Momentum Score
51
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.5
47%
Strike Accuracy
51%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
6
5
Body
4
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
22Distance21
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
32
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/37 fights
Chin rating based on
20/27 fights
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
51
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Trinaldo
Makdessi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
27%
4
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Trinaldo
Makdessi
Striking3.6 / 3.8Volume6.3 / 6.9Grappling2.4 / 1.8Wrestling1.6 / 1.2Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure4.4 / 3.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.6
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Trinaldo
Strike Zones
Makdessi
Trinaldo
Attacking
17HEAD5BODY2LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD4BODY13LEGS23 absorbed
Makdessi
Attacking
6HEAD4BODY13LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
17HEAD5BODY2LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Trinaldo targets the head (71% of attacks) — Makdessi absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Makdessi targets the legs (57% of attacks) — Trinaldo absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Trinaldo
RND
Makdessi
0/0R00/0

Trinaldo · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.5L5.2W5.0W2.8L4.5W6.3L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W2.8L4.9W5.5L5.2W6.4L5.2W4.5W6.2W6.5L4.5W4.5W6.4L2012-062014-092017-032020-072022-10
WinLossTrend

Makdessi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.5L5.0W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.0L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.8W6.2L5.7L2010-122013-032015-122019-032023-09
WinLossTrend

Trinaldo · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny RobertsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Dwight GrantRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vettori · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
W · KO · R3
Jai HerbertRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

Makdessi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Nasrat HaqparastRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa · 2022-09
W · Dec · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · 2021-04
L · Dec · R3
Francisco TrinaldoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Dec · R3
Jesus PinedoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

News & Media

Francisco Trinaldo · John Makdessi
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