UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Middleweight
VS
65%
Anders
35%
Stewart
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Anders
Anders holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Stewart has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Anders has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Anders's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Anders
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Anders
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.9
26.9
45.4
Performance Avg
42.3
41
Quality of Victory
43
79
Momentum Score
68
Anders
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.4
53%
Strike Accuracy
42%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
38
Head
7
3
Body
2
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance11
11Clinch4
15Ground0
Anders
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Anders
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/27 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Anders
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Anders
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
60%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Anders
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
AndersStewart
Strike Zones
Anders
Attacking
43 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedStewart
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
43 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Anders targets the head (88% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (47% of attacks) — Anders absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Anders
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Anders · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Anders · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
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Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
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W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
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