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UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler
Newark, USA
3 Aug 2019
Middleweight
VS
41%
Giles
59%
Meerschaert
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 Β· 1:49
Trevin
Trevin Giles
16 – 7
6'0"74" reachOrthodox33 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Gerald
Gerald Meerschaert
"GM3"
37 – 22
Submission Hunter5-fight slide38 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'1"
CFR 57
β˜… Official Result
Gerald MeerschaertwinsSubmissionR3 Β· 1:49
def. Trevin Giles Β· UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Lawler

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Meerschaert
β†’
Actual result
Meerschaert wins
Submission Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Giles at 41% vs Meerschaert at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Meerschaert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition β€” a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Meerschaert throws more volume but Giles connects at a higher rate β€” quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Giles's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Meerschaert has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GilesMeerschaert
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Giles
Meerschaert
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
74"
Reach
+77"
33+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Giles
Meerschaert
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.6
56.7
41.9
Performance Avg
48.2
36
Quality of Victory
50
72
Momentum Score
91
Giles
Meerschaert
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.2
55%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Giles
Meerschaert
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
7.3
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
5.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Giles
Meerschaert
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
5
3
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
26/59 fights
Giles
Meerschaert
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
72
91
3-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Current form
5-fight πŸ“‰ slide
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
L Β· Sub Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Last 5
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R1
L Β· KO Β· R1
L Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Giles
Meerschaert
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
11
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Giles
Meerschaert
Striking5.3 / 1.8Volume5.6 / 0.9Grappling1.4 / 7.3Wrestling1.0 / 5.1Submission0.0 / 9.2Pressure4.5 / 8.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
7.3
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
9.2
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.4
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.9
Giles
Strike Zones
Meerschaert
Giles
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Meerschaert
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Giles targets the head (100% of attacks) β€” Meerschaert absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Meerschaert targets the head (50% of attacks) β€” Giles absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Giles
RND
Meerschaert
0/0R00/0

Giles Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.2W5.5W4.4L5.1L4.5W5.5W5.9W4.7L3.6L4.5W4.5W3.2L5.0L7.3L2017-072020-022022-012024-022024-11
WinLossTrend

Meerschaert Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.0W2.8L5.2W5.2W2.4L6.1L5.7W6.3L5.5W1.5L3.4L5.0W6.3W5.5W5.5L6.8W3.5L6.0L5.7W6.7W5.0L5.5L2.5L2.1L6.5L2016-122019-082021-122024-112026-05
WinLossTrend

Giles Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi Β· 2024-11
L Β· KO Β· R2
Carlos PratesRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Β· 2024-02
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Gabriel BonfimRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 Β· 2023-07
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Preston ParsonsRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandhagen Β· 2023-03
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Louis CosceRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song Β· 2022-09

Meerschaert Β· Last 5

L Β· Dec Β· R3
Jacob MalkounRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates Β· 2026-05
L Β· Sub Β· R1
Kyle DaukausRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev Β· 2025-11
L Β· KO Β· R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev Β· 2025-08
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Murphy Β· 2025-04
L Β· Sub Β· R3
Reinier de RidderRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates Β· 2024-11

News & Media

Trevin Giles Β· Gerald Meerschaert
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