UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
43%
Cabral
57%
Case
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
YC
Yan Cabral
13 – 3
5'11"73" reachOrthodox43 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
JC
Johnny Case
"Hollywood"
22 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Case

This is a genuine toss-up — Cabral at 43% vs Case at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Case has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Cabral
Case
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cabral
Case
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
18.5
38.3
Performance Avg
49.1
37
Quality of Victory
37
30
Momentum Score
58
Cabral
Case
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
1.1
28%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
16
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch5
0Ground9
Cabral
Case
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cabral
Case
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Cabral
Case
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Cabral
Case
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Cabral
Case
Striking0.8 / 3.8Volume4.8 / 5.3Grappling5.2 / 3.2Wrestling3.6 / 2.2Submission5.0 / 2.5Pressure4.7 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
Cabral
Strike Zones
Case
Cabral
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Case
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Cabral targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Case absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Case targets the head (94% of attacks) — Cabral absorbs 94% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Cabral
RND
Case
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Cabral · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0104.5W5.9L5.2W5.5L4.0L2013-102014-052014-102015-112016-05
WinLossTrend

Case · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.2W5.5W4.5W4.5W5.0L5.5L2014-092015-012015-062015-112016-032017-06
WinLossTrend

Cabral · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Reza MadadiRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Johnny CaseRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Sub · R2
Naoyuki KotaniRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
David MitchellRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

Case · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Yan CabralRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrevinoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R3
Frankie PerezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Yan Cabral · Johnny Case
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