METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Sao Paulo, Brazil
7 Nov 2015
Lightweight
VS
43%
Cabral
57%
Case
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Johnny CasewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Yan Cabral · UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Case
→
Actual result
Case wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Cabral at 43% vs Case at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CabralCase
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Cabral
Case
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"+
Reach
72"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Cabral
Case
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.0
18.5
38.3
Performance Avg
49.1
37
Quality of Victory
37
30
Momentum Score
58
Cabral
Case
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.7
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.8
Style: Volume
5.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
16
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance3
1Clinch5
0Ground9
Cabral
Case
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.2
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Cabral
Case
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/16 fights
Chin rating based on
6/28 fights
Cabral
Case
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
58
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Cabral
Case
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cabral
Case
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
CabralCase
Strike Zones
Cabral
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedCase
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cabral targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Case absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Case targets the head (94% of attacks) — Cabral absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cabral
RND
Case
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Cabral · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Reza MadadiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs Arlovski · 2016-05
L · Dec · R3
Johnny CaseDecision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Sub · R2
Naoyuki KotaniSubmission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
W · Dec · R3
David MitchellDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
Case · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinDecision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Mir · 2016-03
W · Dec · R3
Yan CabralDecision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · Dec · R3
Francisco TrevinoDecision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · KO · R3
Frankie PerezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01