METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Las Vegas, USA
13 Apr 2013
Middleweight
VS
88%
McDaniel
12%
Smith
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:49
★ Official Result
Robert McDanielwinsSubmissionR3 · 2:49
def. Gilbert Smith · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
McDaniel
→
Actual result
McDaniel wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
McDaniel is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
McDaniel has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: McDaniel throws more volume but Smith connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
McDanielSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
McDaniel
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'9"
75"
Reach
43+
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
McDaniel
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
2.5
40.3
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
52
Momentum Score
0
McDaniel
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
0.2
33%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
1
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground0
McDaniel
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
1.2
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
McDaniel
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/38 fights
Chin rating based on
1/18 fights
McDaniel
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
52
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
McDaniel
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McDaniel
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McDanielSmith
Strike Zones
McDaniel
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSmith
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McDaniel targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the body (67% of attacks) — McDaniel absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McDaniel
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
McDaniel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
McDaniel · Last 3
L · Sub · R1
Sean StricklandRating 2.6Submission
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
W · Sub · R3
Gilbert SmithRating 5.5Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04
Smith · Last 1
L · Sub · R3
Robert McDanielRating 4Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Jones vs. Team Sonnen Finale · 2013-04