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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
Las Vegas, USA
18 Sept 2021
Bantamweight
VS
97%
Jackson
3%
Buys
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Montel
Montel Jackson
"Quik"
154
5'10"75" reachSouthpaw34 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 52
JB
JP Buys
"Young Savage"
96
Well-Rounded4-fight slide30 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'5"
CFR 2
★ Official Result
Montel JacksonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. JP Buys · UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jackson
Actual result
Jackson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Jackson is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 51 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jackson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Risk flags

Buys has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JacksonBuys
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Jackson
Buys
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'5"
75"+
Reach
67"
34
Age
+30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Jackson
Buys
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.4
1.9
51.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Jackson
Buys
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
0.0
5.8
Style: Volume
0.0
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance3
0Clinch0
5Ground0
Jackson
Buys
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jackson
Buys
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
92
32
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
14/19 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Jackson
Buys
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Jackson
Buys
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jackson
Buys
Striking4.7 / 0.0Volume5.8 / 0.0Grappling2.2 / 0.0Wrestling1.6 / 0.0Submission1.1 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jackson
Strike Zones
Buys
Jackson
Attacking
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Buys
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD1BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jackson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Buys absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Buys targets the body (67% of attacks) — Jackson absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jackson
RND
Buys
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0

Jackson · Last 5

Upcoming
Ricky Simon
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09
L · Dec · R3
Raoni Barcelos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Deiveson Figueiredo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Daniel Marcos
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · KO · R1
Da'Mon Blackshear
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

Buys · Last 4

L · KO · R1
Marcus McGhee
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R1
Cody Durden
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · Dec · R3
Montel Jackson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09
L · KO · R2
Bruno Silva
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03

News & Media

Montel Jackson · JP Buys
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