The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP vs Team Koscheck Finale
Las Vegas, USA
4 Dec 2010
Welterweight
VS
51%
Hendricks
49%
Story
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hendricks
This is a genuine toss-up — Hendricks at 51% vs Story at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Story throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Hendricks's chin rating of 24 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Story has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Hendricks
Story
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
69"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Hendricks
Story
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
17.0
48.2
Performance Avg
46.0
39
Quality of Victory
35
80
Momentum Score
65
Hendricks
Story
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.2
49%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
0
0
Body
2
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance0
2Clinch2
0Ground0
Hendricks
Story
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hendricks
Story
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
24
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/26 fights
Chin rating based on
19/28 fights
Hendricks
Story
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
80
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Hendricks
Story
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
33%
5
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hendricks
Story
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
HendricksStory
Strike Zones
Hendricks
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedStory
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hendricks targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Story absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Story targets the body (100% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hendricks
RND
Story
0/0R00/0
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Story · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07
Story · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Donald CerroneRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R5
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
W · Sub · R2
Leonardo MafraRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03