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UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Menifield
42%
Herman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 Β· 5:00
Alonzo
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
17 – 6
6'0"76" reachOrthodox38 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39
β˜… Official Result
Alonzo MenifieldwinsDecisionR3 Β· 5:00
def. Ed Herman Β· UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis Β· prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Menifield
β†’
Actual result
Menifield wins
Decision Β· R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up β€” Menifield at 58% vs Herman at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Menifield has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Menifield's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Herman has a chin rating of 0 β€” a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight β€” Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MenifieldHerman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
β€”
Strike Accuracy
β€”
Menifield
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height Β· Reach Β· Age Β· Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menifield
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
38.7
51.6
Performance Avg
47.4
44
Quality of Victory
44
75
Momentum Score
82
Menifield
Herman
Striking
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
1.4
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
7
0
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance8
1Clinch1
10Ground0
Menifield
Herman
Grappling
Career averages Β· see This Fight stats above
β€”
β€”
β€”
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Menifield
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
β€”
Strikes absorbed / min
β€”
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Menifield
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance β€” most recent weighted 30%
75
82
Current form
2-fight πŸ“‰ slide
Upcoming
L Β· KO Β· R1
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
L Β· KO Β· R2
Last 5
L Β· KO Β· R3
L Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· Sub Β· R3
W Β· Dec Β· R3
W Β· KO Β· R1
Menifield
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
69%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar β€” 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Menifield
Herman
Striking5.3 / 4.1Volume4.5 / 3.5Grappling2.6 / 3.8Wrestling1.8 / 2.7Submission2.0 / 3.9Pressure6.1 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Menifield
Strike Zones
Herman
Menifield
Attacking
25HEAD0BODY3LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
25HEAD0BODY3LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Menifield targets the head (89% of attacks) β€” Herman absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (78% of attacks) β€” Menifield absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight Β· per-round breakdown

Menifield
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0

Menifield Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W5.7W5.5L3.3L5.0W4.7W5.5L5.0W5.0W6.8W5.9W3.4L4.6L4.5W5.5W2.3L2019-012021-032022-102024-082025-11
WinLossTrend

Herman Β· QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Menifield Β· Last 5

Upcoming
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KO/TKO
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Decision
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KO/TKO
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Herman Β· Last 5

L Β· KO Β· R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Β· 2023-04
L Β· Dec Β· R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane Β· 2021-08
W Β· Sub Β· R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill Β· 2020-09
W Β· Dec Β· R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar Β· 2019-11
W Β· KO Β· R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee Β· 2019-05

News & Media

Alonzo Menifield Β· Ed Herman
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