UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
Houston, USA
7 Aug 2021
Light Heavyweight
VS
58%
Menifield
42%
Herman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Menifield
This is a genuine toss-up — Menifield at 58% vs Herman at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Menifield has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Menifield's chin rating of 8 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Menifield
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
76"
Reach
+77"
38+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Menifield
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.6
38.7
51.6
Performance Avg
47.4
44
Quality of Victory
44
75
Momentum Score
82
Menifield
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.0
51%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
7
0
Body
2
3
Leg
0
RangeRange
17Distance8
1Clinch1
10Ground0
Menifield
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Menifield
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
8
0
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Menifield
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Menifield
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
69%
4
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Menifield
Herman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
6.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MenifieldHerman
Strike Zones
Menifield
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedHerman
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Menifield targets the head (89% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (78% of attacks) — Menifield absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Menifield
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0
Menifield · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Herman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Menifield · Last 5
Upcoming
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