UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Lightweight
VS
46%
Prazeres
54%
Lee
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MP
Michel Prazeres
"Tractor"
26 – 4
5'6"67" reachOrthodox44 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 31
KL
Kevin Lee
"The Motown Phenom"
18 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide33 yrsOrthodox77" reach5'9"
CFR 35

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Lee

This is a genuine toss-up — Prazeres at 46% vs Lee at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Lee throws more volume but Prazeres connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Lee has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Prazeres
Lee
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
67"
Reach
+77"
44
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Prazeres
Lee
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
30.5
35.2
48.3
Performance Avg
48.3
33
Quality of Victory
42
85
Momentum Score
53
Prazeres
Lee
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.4
47%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
24
1
Body
7
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance12
1Clinch10
0Ground9
Prazeres
Lee
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Prazeres
Lee
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
82
24
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
4
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
13 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/30 fights
Chin rating based on
19/26 fights
Prazeres
Lee
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
53
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R4
Prazeres
Lee
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
55%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
3
Submission Wins
4
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Prazeres
Lee
Striking1.4 / 3.0Volume7.0 / 4.1Grappling4.1 / 3.8Wrestling2.9 / 2.6Submission3.0 / 3.6Pressure4.2 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.6
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
Prazeres
Strike Zones
Lee
Prazeres
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD7BODY0LEGS31 absorbed
Lee
Attacking
24HEAD7BODY0LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Prazeres targets the head (86% of attacks) — Lee absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Lee targets the head (77% of attacks) — Prazeres absorbs 77% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Prazeres
RND
Lee
0/0R00/0

Prazeres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.7W5.0W5.5W4.5W4.9W5.0W6.0L4.8L2013-052015-112017-092019-022021-06
WinLossTrend

Lee · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.6L4.5W6.0W5.2W5.2W5.8W3.3L5.0W5.5L3.6L5.0W4.2L6.4L3.1L2014-022015-122017-062019-112023-07
WinLossTrend

Prazeres · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Ismail NaurdievRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Sub · R1
Bartosz FabinskiRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Ponzinibbio · 2018-11
W · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs. Anders · 2018-02

Lee · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Sub · R3
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · KO · R1
Gregor GillespieRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
L · Sub · R4
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Michel Prazeres · Kevin Lee
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