UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
Las Vegas, USA
2 Mar 2024
Bantamweight
VS
52%
Nurmagomedov
48%
Almakhan
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Umar
Umar Nurmagomedov
20 – 1
5'8"69" reachOrthodox30 yrs2-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 60
Bekzat
Bekzat Almakhan
"The Turan Warrior"
12 – 3
Knockout Artist28 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Nurmagomedov

This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 52% vs Almakhan at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Almakhan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

Nurmagomedov has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
30
Age
+28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
56.5
57.2
Performance Avg
49.3
36
Quality of Victory
60
75
Momentum Score
43
Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.5
62%
Strike Accuracy
35%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
0Clinch0
19Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
96
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/15 fights
Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
100%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov
Almakhan
Striking3.0 / 10.0Volume6.8 / 0.7Grappling3.5 / 0.0Wrestling2.5 / 0.0Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure5.3 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Nurmagomedov
Strike Zones
Almakhan
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
20HEAD0BODY2LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Almakhan
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD0BODY2LEGS22 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (91% of attacks) — Almakhan absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Almakhan targets the body (100% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov
RND
Almakhan
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.7
0105.2W5.3W5.7W5.8W5.6W6.0W6.8L5.6W5.6W2021-012023-012025-012026-01
WinLossTrend

Almakhan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.3
0106.8L5.4W6.8L2024-032025-052025-11
WinLossTrend

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

Almakhan · Last 4

Upcoming
Jean Matsumoto
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Aleksandre TopuriaRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · KO · R1
Brad KatonaRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Umar NurmagomedovRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Umar Nurmagomedov · Bekzat Almakhan
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