Umar Nurmagomedov vs Bekzat Almakhan — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Las Vegas, USA

2 Mar 2024

Bantamweight

52%

Nurmagomedov

48%

Almakhan

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Umar Nurmagomedov

20 – 1

5'8"69" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 57

Bekzat Almakhan

"The Turan Warrior"

12 – 3

Knockout Artist2-fight slide28 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'7"

CFR 53

★ Official Result

Umar NurmagomedovwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Bekzat Almakhan · UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Nurmagomedov

→

Actual result

Nurmagomedov wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 52% vs Almakhan at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Almakhan has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NurmagomedovAlmakhan

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"+

Height

5'7"

69"+

Reach

68"

Age

+28

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.7

53.0

53.6

Performance Avg

46.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.9

/ 10

10.0

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

7.8

6.6

Style: Volume

0.5

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance1

0Clinch0

19Ground0

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

0.0

/ 10

2.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.0

2.5

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

—

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

10/21 fights

Chin rating based on

4/15 fights

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

2-fight 📉 slide

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

38%

100%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov

Almakhan

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

10.0

3.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.0

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.0

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

7.8

6.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

0.5

Nurmagomedov

Strike Zones

Almakhan

Nurmagomedov

Attacking

22 landed

Absorbing

1 absorbed

Almakhan

Attacking

1 landed

Absorbing

22 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (91% of attacks) — Almakhan absorbs 91% of strikes there

🎯Almakhan targets the body (100% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov

RND

Almakhan

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Song Yadong

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Deiveson Figueiredo

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · Dec · R3

Mario Bautista

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

L · Dec · R5

Merab Dvalishvili

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Dec · R5

Cory Sandhagen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Almakhan · Last 4

L · Dec · R3

Jean Matsumoto

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06

L · Dec · R3

Aleksandre Topuria

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Brad Katona

KO/TKO

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena · 2025-05

L · Dec · R3

Umar Nurmagomedov

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03

News & Media

Umar Nurmagomedov · Bekzat Almakhan

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