METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
20 Mar 2021
Women's Bantamweight
VS
20%
Reneau
80%
Chiasson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MR
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Macy ChiassonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Marion Reneau · UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiasson
→
Actual result
Chiasson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Chiasson is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 47 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Reneau's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chiasson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ReneauChiasson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Reneau
Chiasson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+72"
49
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Reneau
Chiasson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
61.5
44.1
Performance Avg
53.0
46
Quality of Victory
50
15
Momentum Score
96
Reneau
Chiasson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
5.2
2.4
Style: Volume
4.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
11
1
Body
3
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch6
0Ground2
Reneau
Chiasson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.7
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Reneau
Chiasson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
14/17 fights
Reneau
Chiasson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
96
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · R2
W · Sub · R1
Reneau
Chiasson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Reneau
Chiasson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.1
ReneauChiasson
Strike Zones
Reneau
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedChiasson
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Reneau targets the head (50% of attacks) — Chiasson absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Chiasson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Reneau absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Reneau
RND
Chiasson
0/0R00/0
Reneau · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Miesha TateKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Macy ChiassonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Raquel PenningtonDecision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos · 2019-03
L · Dec · R3
Cat ZinganoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
Chiasson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ailin PerezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Yana SantosDecision
UFC 320: Ankalaev vs. Pereira 2 · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraDecision
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W · R2
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W · Sub · R1
Pannie KianzadSubmission
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