UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal
Las Vegas, USA
25 Apr 2026
Women's Bantamweight
VS
44%
Silva
56%
Montague
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Montague
This is a genuine toss-up — Silva at 44% vs Montague at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 22 points.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Silva
Montague
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+68"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Silva
Montague
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.2
60.8
45.0
Performance Avg
55.0
47
Quality of Victory
25
26
Momentum Score
100
Silva
Montague
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground6
Silva
Montague
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
6.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
4.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Silva
Montague
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
100
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/17 fights
Chin rating based on
2/8 fights
Silva
Montague
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
26
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Silva
Montague
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Silva
Montague
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
6.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
8.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.0
2.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
10.0
SilvaMontague
Strike Zones
Silva
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedMontague
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (50% of attacks) — Montague absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Montague targets the head (100% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Silva
RND
Montague
0/0R00/0
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.0WinLossTrend
Montague · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Silva · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michelle MontagueRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Jacqueline CavalcantiRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
L · Dec · R3
Jasmine JasudaviciusRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · R2
Macy ChiassonRating 6.1UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R5
Raquel PenningtonRating 6.1Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
Montague · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Mayra Bueno SilvaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Luana CarolinaRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09

