UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik
Moscow, Russia
15 Sept 2018
Welterweight
VS
46%
Kunchenko
54%
Alves
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AK
Aleksei Kunchenko
20 – 2
5'8"70" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
TA
Thiago Alves
"Pitbull"
23 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alves

This is a genuine toss-up — Kunchenko at 46% vs Alves at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.

Kunchenko has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alves has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kunchenko
Alves
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kunchenko
Alves
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.2
16.5
35.0
Performance Avg
47.3
25
Quality of Victory
42
56
Momentum Score
63
Kunchenko
Alves
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
7
3
Body
5
2
Leg
9
RangeRange
25Distance21
4Clinch0
0Ground0
Kunchenko
Alves
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kunchenko
Alves
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
6
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/22 fights
Chin rating based on
27/38 fights
Kunchenko
Alves
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
63
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Kunchenko
Alves
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
53%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
7

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kunchenko
Alves
Striking1.0 / 5.8Volume9.0 / 4.3Grappling2.4 / 1.5Wrestling1.7 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.7Pressure1.5 / 5.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.7
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.3
Kunchenko
Strike Zones
Alves
Kunchenko
Attacking
24HEAD3BODY2LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD5BODY9LEGS21 absorbed
Alves
Attacking
7HEAD5BODY9LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD3BODY2LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kunchenko targets the head (83% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Alves targets the legs (43% of attacks) — Kunchenko absorbs 43% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kunchenko
RND
Alves
0/0R00/0

Kunchenko · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W4.5W5.7L6.0L2018-092018-122019-082020-03
WinLossTrend

Alves · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W5.2W5.2W4.2W5.2W5.2W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W5.5L5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W4.4L5.9L4.5W2.8L5.5L5.1W5.5L1.6L2005-102007-112011-052017-042019-12
WinLossTrend

Kunchenko · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Gilbert BurnsRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08
W · Dec · R3
Yushin OkamiRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Thiago AlvesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09

Alves · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Tim MeansRating 1.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Laureano StaropoliRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
W · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02
L · Dec · R3
Aleksei KunchenkoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs. Oleinik · 2018-09
L · KO · R2
Curtis MillenderRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02

News & Media

Aleksei Kunchenko · Thiago Alves
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