The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale
Las Vegas, USA
1 Dec 2017
Women's Flyweight
VS
4%
Honchak
96%
Murphy
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Murphy
Murphy is a strong favourite at 96% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 50 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Murphy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Murphy has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Murphy has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Honchak
Murphy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
65"
Reach
+67"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Honchak
Murphy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.1
51.7
0.0
Performance Avg
41.9
0
Quality of Victory
34
0
Momentum Score
87
Honchak
Murphy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.4
1.5
23%
Strike Accuracy
43%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
2
0
Body
1
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Honchak
Murphy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Honchak
Murphy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
66
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/14 fights
Chin rating based on
15/23 fights
Honchak
Murphy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
87
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
Honchak
Murphy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Honchak
Murphy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.5
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HonchakMurphy
Strike Zones
Honchak
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedMurphy
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Honchak targets the head (50% of attacks) — Murphy absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Murphy targets the head (40% of attacks) — Honchak absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Honchak
RND
Murphy
0/0R00/0
Honchak · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Murphy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Honchak · Last 2
L · KO · R2
Roxanne ModafferiRating 2.8KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Undefeated Finale · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: A New World Champion Finale · 2017-12
Murphy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Eduarda MouraRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AndradeRating 6.3Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Miesha TateRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
L · KO · R4
Valentina ShevchenkoRating 4.7KO/TKO
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
W · Dec · R3
Joanne WoodRating 4.7Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06