UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
83%
Elkins
17%
Hioki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Darren
Darren Elkins
"The Damage"
29 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 45
HH
Hatsu Hioki
29 – 10
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox73" reach5'11"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Elkins

Elkins is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Elkins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Elkins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hioki has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Elkins
Hioki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Hioki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.7
9.0
46.3
Performance Avg
30.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
10
Elkins
Hioki
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
36%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
4 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Elkins
Hioki
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elkins
Hioki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/39 fights
Elkins
Hioki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
10
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Elkins
Hioki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elkins
Hioki
Striking3.4 / 0.8Volume6.3 / 8.8Grappling2.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.9 / 1.7Submission1.6 / 0.0Pressure4.5 / 1.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
Elkins
Strike Zones
Hioki
Elkins
Attacking
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Hioki
Attacking
0HEAD2BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD1BODY0LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (94% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Hioki targets the body (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elkins
RND
Hioki
0/0R00/0

Elkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W2.9L4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W6.0L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.5W5.3W7.0L4.0L5.5L6.2L5.5W5.2W2.0L4.5W6.0L5.5W5.4W1.7L2010-032013-082017-072021-122025-04
WinLossTrend

Hioki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.5L6.0L6.0L4.5W4.2L3.6L2011-102012-062013-082014-062015-05
WinLossTrend

Elkins · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
L · Dec · R3
Jonathan PearceRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Tristan ConnellyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Hioki · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

News & Media

Darren Elkins · Hatsu Hioki
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