METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Indianapolis, USA
28 Aug 2013
Featherweight
VS
83%
Elkins
17%
Hioki
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Darren ElkinswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Hatsu Hioki · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Elkins
→
Actual result
Elkins wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Elkins is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Elkins has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.
Risk flags
Elkins's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hioki has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ElkinsHioki
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Elkins
Hioki
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+73"
42+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Elkins
Hioki
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
44.3
9.0
45.5
Performance Avg
30.0
35
Quality of Victory
25
66
Momentum Score
10
Elkins
Hioki
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.4
Style: Pressure
1.1
6.3
Style: Volume
8.8
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
1
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance2
0Clinch0
11Ground0
Elkins
Hioki
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.6
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Elkins
Hioki
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
60
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
5
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.4 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
31/41 fights
Chin rating based on
8/39 fights
Elkins
Hioki
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
10
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Elkins
Hioki
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
37%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Elkins
Hioki
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.6
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.1
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
ElkinsHioki
Strike Zones
Elkins
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHioki
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Elkins targets the head (94% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Hioki targets the body (100% of attacks) — Elkins absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Elkins
RND
Hioki
0/0R00/0
Elkins · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Yadier del ValleKO/TKO
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W · Sub · R3
TJ BrownSubmission
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Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01