UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev
Las Vegas, USA
1 Mar 2025
Featherweight
VS
40%
Ramos
60%
Mariscal
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mariscal
Mariscal holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Ramos has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mariscal has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Ramos's chin rating of 16 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ramos
Mariscal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
30+
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ramos
Mariscal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.2
56.9
43.0
Performance Avg
51.9
36
Quality of Victory
31
30
Momentum Score
80
Ramos
Mariscal
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.3
36%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
6
Body
5
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
13Distance13
1Clinch2
0Ground0
Ramos
Mariscal
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.6
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Ramos
Mariscal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
16
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
6/25 fights
Ramos
Mariscal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
80
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Ramos
Mariscal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
20%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ramos
Mariscal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.1
RamosMariscal
Strike Zones
Ramos
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedMariscal
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ramos targets the body (43% of attacks) — Mariscal absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Mariscal targets the head (40% of attacks) — Ramos absorbs 40% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ramos
RND
Mariscal
0/0R00/0
Ramos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Mariscal · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Ramos · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Kaan OfliRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Chepe MariscalRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 4.8Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Julian ErosaRating 1.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
Mariscal · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Pat SabatiniRating 6.5Decision
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
W · KO · R2
Jack JenkinsRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

