UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady
London, United Kingdom
22 Mar 2025
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Tybura
57%
Parkin
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Marcin
Marcin Tybura
"Tybur"
27 – 11
6'3"78" reachOrthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 43
Mick
Mick Parkin
10 – 1
Well-Rounded30 yrsOrthodox79" reach6'4"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Parkin

This is a genuine toss-up — Tybura at 43% vs Parkin at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Parkin throws more volume but Tybura connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Tybura's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tybura
Parkin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
78"
Reach
+79"
40
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Tybura
Parkin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.5
57.2
45.2
Performance Avg
52.2
37
Quality of Victory
34
58
Momentum Score
78
Tybura
Parkin
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
2.5
53%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
19
11
Body
0
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
32Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Tybura
Parkin
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.8
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tybura
Parkin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
24/38 fights
Chin rating based on
5/11 fights
Tybura
Parkin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
58
78
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · R2
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Tybura
Parkin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
36%
25%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tybura
Parkin
Striking4.0 / 4.1Volume5.7 / 7.6Grappling1.9 / 1.8Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.3 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.6
Tybura
Strike Zones
Parkin
Tybura
Attacking
20HEAD11BODY2LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD0BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Parkin
Attacking
19HEAD0BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD11BODY2LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tybura targets the head (61% of attacks) — Parkin absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Parkin targets the head (86% of attacks) — Tybura absorbs 86% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tybura
RND
Parkin
0/0R00/0

Tybura · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L5.2W5.5W5.2W5.5L5.2L4.5W2.8L1.7L5.0W4.5W4.5W5.2W5.0W6.8L5.3W4.5W3.9L5.4W2.0L5.1W5.6W2.5L6.8L2016-042018-072020-122024-032026-03
WinLossTrend

Parkin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.9L2023-072023-112024-032024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Tybura · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tyrell FortuneRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
L · KO · R1
Ante DelijaRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Imavov vs. Borralho · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Mick ParkinRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · R2
Jhonata DinizRating 5.1
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tybura vs. Spivac 2 · 2024-08

Parkin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

News & Media

Marcin Tybura · Mick Parkin
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