METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Welterweight
VS
67%
Alves
33%
Lazzez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:35
★ Official Result
Warlley AlveswinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:35
def. Mounir Lazzez · UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alves
→
Actual result
Alves wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Alves holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Lazzez has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alves has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 24 points.
Risk flags
Alves's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lazzez has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvesLazzez
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alves
Lazzez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+76"
35+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Alves
Lazzez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.1
19.1
49.3
Performance Avg
35.0
49
Quality of Victory
25
30
Momentum Score
39
Alves
Lazzez
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.9
Style: Pressure
1.5
3.0
Style: Volume
9.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
1
7
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
4Clinch2
6Ground0
Alves
Lazzez
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alves
Lazzez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
66
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/23 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Alves
Lazzez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
39
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Alves
Lazzez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alves
Lazzez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
AlvesLazzez
Strike Zones
Alves
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedLazzez
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alves targets the head (53% of attacks) — Lazzez absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Lazzez targets the head (50% of attacks) — Alves absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alves
RND
Lazzez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Alves · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyDecision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · KO · R2
Jeremiah WellsKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
W · KO · R1
Mounir LazzezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
Lazzez · Last 4
L · Sub · R1
Gabriel BonfimSubmission
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · Dec · R3
Ange LoosaDecision
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L · KO · R1
Warlley AlvesKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Abdul Razak AlhassanDecision
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