UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya
Perth, Australia
17 Aug 2024
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Tuivasa
57%
Rozenstruik
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tai
Tai Tuivasa
"Bam Bam"
15 – 10
6'2"75" reachSouthpaw33 yrs7-fight slideKnockout Artist
CFR 43
Jairzinho
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
"Bigi Boy"
15 – 6
Knockout Artist38 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'2"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Rozenstruik

This is a genuine toss-up — Tuivasa at 43% vs Rozenstruik at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Tuivasa has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Tuivasa's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Rozenstruik has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
75"
Reach
+78"
33+
Age
38
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
43.2
57.0
50.4
Performance Avg
56.7
54
Quality of Victory
54
20
Momentum Score
56
Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.4
55%
Strike Accuracy
53%
9.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
8 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
26
3
Body
4
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
15Distance34
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.3
0.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/25 fights
Chin rating based on
15/21 fights
Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
56
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R4
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
89%
7
KO / TKO Wins
8
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Tuivasa
Rozenstruik
Striking9.6 / 10.0Volume1.9 / 2.1Grappling0.3 / 0.3Wrestling0.2 / 0.2Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure7.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.3
0.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
1.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Tuivasa
Strike Zones
Rozenstruik
Tuivasa
Attacking
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD4BODY6LEGS36 absorbed
Rozenstruik
Attacking
26HEAD4BODY6LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD3BODY2LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Tuivasa targets the head (67% of attacks) — Rozenstruik absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Rozenstruik targets the head (72% of attacks) — Tuivasa absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Tuivasa
RND
Rozenstruik
0/0R00/0

Tuivasa · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.0W5.0W5.2W2.1L5.5L3.3L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.4W6.5W4.5L2.7L4.0L1.9L6.6L6.7L5.5L2017-112019-102022-022024-082026-05
WinLossTrend

Rozenstruik · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.7W5.5W1.9L5.2W7.2L5.2W6.4L2.8L5.3W3.3L6.0W4.9W6.7L2019-022020-052021-092024-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Tuivasa · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Louie SutherlandRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Tallison TeixeiraRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Dec · R3
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Marcin TyburaRating 1.9
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Sub · R2
Alexander VolkovRating 4
Submission
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Rozenstruik · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sergei PavlovichRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
Tai TuivasaRating 4.9
Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · KO · R4
Shamil GazievRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
L · Sub · R1
Jailton AlmeidaRating 3.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
W · KO · R1
Chris DaukausRating 5.3
KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev · 2022-12

News & Media

Tai Tuivasa · Jairzinho Rozenstruik
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