METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Lightweight
VS
52%
Griffin
48%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Tyson GriffinwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gleison Tibau · UFC 81: Breaking Point
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Griffin
→
Actual result
Griffin wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 52% vs Tibau at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GriffinTibau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Griffin
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Griffin
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
15.4
42.3
Performance Avg
43.2
32
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
74
Griffin
Tibau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
3.9
7.1
Style: Volume
6.6
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
6
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Griffin
Tibau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
1
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Griffin
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Griffin
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Griffin
Tibau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
GriffinTibau
Strike Zones
Griffin
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTibau
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the body (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (83% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Griffin
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0
Griffin · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiKO/TKO
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UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiKO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamDecision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06
Tibau · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloUFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeDecision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01