UFC 81: Breaking Point
Las Vegas, USA
2 Feb 2008
Lightweight
VS
52%
Griffin
48%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TG
Tyson Griffin
16 – 8
5'6"68" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Griffin

This is a genuine toss-up — Griffin at 52% vs Tibau at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Griffin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Griffin's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Griffin
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'10"
68"
Reach
+71"
42
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Griffin
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
15.4
42.3
Performance Avg
43.2
32
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
74
Griffin
Tibau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
35%
2.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
5
6
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
11Distance2
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Griffin
Tibau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
2.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Griffin
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/24 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Griffin
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Griffin
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
31%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
4
6
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Griffin
Tibau
Striking2.4 / 1.8Volume7.1 / 6.6Grappling2.8 / 3.6Wrestling2.0 / 2.5Submission1.3 / 2.5Pressure3.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
2.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Griffin
Strike Zones
Tibau
Griffin
Attacking
5HEAD6BODY1LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
5HEAD1BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD6BODY1LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Griffin targets the body (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (83% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Griffin
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Griffin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0105.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L4.7W5.2W5.5L1.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L2006-092008-022009-092011-062011-10
WinLossTrend

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Griffin · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Bart PalaszewskiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida · 2010-11
L · KO · R1
Takanori GomiRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan DunhamRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin · 2010-06

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Tyson Griffin · Gleison Tibau
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