UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards
San Antonio, USA
20 Jul 2019
Women's Flyweight
VS
38%
Modafferi
62%
Maia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Roxanne Modafferi
"The Happy Warrior"
25 – 21
5'7"69" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 19
JM
Jennifer Maia
21 – 10
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'4"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Modafferi has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Modafferi
Maia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'4"
69"+
Reach
64"
43
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Modafferi
Maia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.8
31.2
34.7
Performance Avg
38.6
36
Quality of Victory
31
15
Momentum Score
45
Modafferi
Maia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
31%
Strike Accuracy
40%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
32
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
8Distance35
1Clinch2
0Ground1
Modafferi
Maia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Modafferi
Maia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/46 fights
Chin rating based on
12/31 fights
Modafferi
Maia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Modafferi
Maia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
17%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Modafferi
Maia
Striking3.2 / 1.0Volume6.7 / 7.7Grappling1.8 / 3.3Wrestling1.3 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure2.8 / 2.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.7
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Modafferi
Strike Zones
Maia
Modafferi
Attacking
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD4BODY2LEGS38 absorbed
Maia
Attacking
32HEAD4BODY2LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD1BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Modafferi targets the head (89% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Maia targets the head (84% of attacks) — Modafferi absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Modafferi
RND
Maia
0/0R00/0

Modafferi · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0106.1L5.5L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.5W6.3L4.9W6.2L5.7L6.7L2013-112018-112020-012021-012022-02
WinLossTrend

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.8L5.2W6.9L4.5W5.8L7.1L5.1W5.7W6.2L2018-072019-112021-072022-112023-10
WinLossTrend

Modafferi · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Taila SantosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Andrea LeeRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
L · Dec · R3
Lauren MurphyRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Casey O'NeillRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
W · Dec · R3
Maryna MorozRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Roxanne Modafferi · Jennifer Maia
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