UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
Broomfield, USA
21 Mar 2010
Heavyweight
VS
90%
Schaub
10%
Gormley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:47
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Schaub
Schaub is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Schaub has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 46 points.
Striking split: Gormley throws more volume but Schaub connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Schaub's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Gormley has a chin rating of 66 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Schaub
Gormley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
78"
Reach
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Schaub
Gormley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.7
1.8
49.2
Performance Avg
0.0
46
Quality of Victory
0
39
Momentum Score
0
Schaub
Gormley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.0
39%
Strike Accuracy
35%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
25
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
9Distance2
11Clinch0
5Ground0
Schaub
Gormley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Schaub
Gormley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
66
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/15 fights
Chin rating based on
2/20 fights
Schaub
Gormley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Schaub
Gormley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Schaub
Gormley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SchaubGormley
Strike Zones
Schaub
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGormley
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Schaub targets the head (100% of attacks) — Gormley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Gormley targets the head (100% of attacks) — Schaub absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Schaub
RND
Gormley
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Schaub · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.8WinLossTrend
Gormley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Schaub · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Travis BrowneRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Sub · R1
Matt MitrioneRating 5Submission
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Lavar JohnsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · KO · R1
Ben RothwellRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
Gormley · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Brendan SchaubRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Live: Vera vs Jones · 2010-03
L · Sub · R1
Stefan StruveRating 1.5Submission
UFC 104: Machida vs Shogun · 2009-10