UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson
Dublin, Ireland
17 Jan 2009
Middleweight
VS
53%
Palhares
47%
Horn
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RP
Rousimar Palhares
"Toquinho"
19 – 8
5'8"71" reachOrthodox46 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 22
JH
Jeremy Horn
"Gumby"
91 – 22
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'1"
CFR 19

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Palhares

This is a genuine toss-up — Palhares at 53% vs Horn at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Horn throws more volume but Palhares connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Palhares's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Horn has a chin rating of 16 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Palhares
Horn
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+74"
46+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Palhares
Horn
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.7
18.9
54.0
Performance Avg
48.1
46
Quality of Victory
49
100
Momentum Score
78
Palhares
Horn
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.8
47%
Strike Accuracy
44%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
3
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
1Clinch0
3Ground1
Palhares
Horn
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
6.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.7
4.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Palhares
Horn
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
16
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R4.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
13/113 fights
Palhares
Horn
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
78
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Palhares
Horn
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
83%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
6
Submission Wins
4
2
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Palhares
Horn
Striking1.3 / 2.6Volume3.3 / 2.3Grappling6.6 / 5.7Wrestling4.6 / 4.0Submission7.5 / 6.7Pressure7.3 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.7
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.0
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
3.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
Palhares
Strike Zones
Horn
Palhares
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Horn
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Palhares targets the head (75% of attacks) — Horn absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Horn targets the head (100% of attacks) — Palhares absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Palhares
RND
Horn
0/0R00/0

Palhares · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.0W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.0W1.5L5.2W4.5W5.0W1.5L1.5L5.0W2008-052009-122011-032012-052013-10
WinLossTrend

Horn · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.7
0102.8L1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L3.4L4.5W5.2W2.8L1.5L5.5L1998-051999-092005-112009-01
WinLossTrend

Palhares · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Mike PierceRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R1
Hector LombardRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
W · Sub · R1
Mike MassenzioRating 5
Submission
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes · 2012-01
W · Dec · R3
Dan MillerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08

Horn · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rousimar PalharesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Sub · R1
Dean ListerRating 1.5
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rampage vs Team Forrest Finale · 2008-06
L · Sub · R2
Nate MarquardtRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 81: Breaking Point · 2008-02
W · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 60: Hughes vs Gracie · 2006-05
W · Dec · R3
Trevor PrangleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11

News & Media

Rousimar Palhares · Jeremy Horn
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