UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie
Kallang, Singapore
26 Aug 2023
Featherweight
VS
58%
Chikadze
42%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Chikadze
This is a genuine toss-up — Chikadze at 58% vs Caceres at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Chikadze
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'10"
74"+
Reach
73"
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Chikadze
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
54.4
39.7
49.5
Performance Avg
42.2
38
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
76
Chikadze
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
12
13
Body
8
8
Leg
3
RangeRange
25Distance23
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chikadze
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chikadze
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
4
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Chikadze
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Chikadze
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chikadze
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
ChikadzeCaceres
Strike Zones
Chikadze
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chikadze targets the body (52% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (52% of attacks) — Chikadze absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chikadze
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
Chikadze · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Caceres · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Chikadze · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Kevin VallejosRating 4.9KO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
David OnamaRating 6.3Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
L · Dec · R5
Calvin KattarRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
Caceres · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3Decision
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