UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Lightweight
VS
51%
Diakiese
49%
Hadzovic
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Diakiese
This is a genuine toss-up — Diakiese at 51% vs Hadzovic at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Hadzovic has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Diakiese's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hadzovic has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
70"
33+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
37.3
35.9
41.2
Performance Avg
39.2
33
Quality of Victory
39
88
Momentum Score
20
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
49%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Diakiese
Hadzovic
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
DiakieseHadzovic
Strike Zones
Diakiese
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHadzovic
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Diakiese targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Hadzovic absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Hadzovic targets the head (100% of attacks) — Diakiese absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Diakiese
RND
Hadzovic
0/0R00/0
Diakiese · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Hadzovic · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Diakiese · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Kaue FernandesRating 6.1Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Joel AlvarezRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
W · Dec · R3
Damir HadzovicRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · 2022-03
Hadzovic · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Yancy MedeirosRating 4.5Decision
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L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3Submission
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L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7Decision
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