METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Featherweight
VS
62%
Burgos
38%
Rosa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:59
★ Official Result
Shane BurgoswinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:59
def. Charles Rosa · UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burgos
→
Actual result
Burgos wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Burgos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Rosa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Burgos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurgosRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burgos
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
35+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Burgos
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
19.4
50.0
Performance Avg
36.3
35
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
20
Burgos
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
0.8
54%
Strike Accuracy
36%
4.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
9
2
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance10
8Clinch0
2Ground0
Burgos
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.6
1.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burgos
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Burgos
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Burgos
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
BurgosRosa
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRosa
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (90% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burgos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Rosa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Charles JourdainRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 5.7Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Volkov · 2020-06
W · KO · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Rosa · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
TJ BrownRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
L · Dec · R3
Damon JacksonRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodriguez · 2021-10
W · Dec · R3
Justin JaynesRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Dec · R3
Darrick MinnerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Lewis · 2021-02