METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Buffalo, USA
8 Apr 2017
Featherweight
VS
62%
Burgos
38%
Rosa
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:59
★ Official Result
Shane BurgoswinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:59
def. Charles Rosa · UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Burgos
→
Actual result
Burgos wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Burgos holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Rosa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Burgos's chin rating of 54 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Rosa has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurgosRosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burgos
Rosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
75"+
Reach
69"
35+
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Burgos
Rosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
31.9
19.4
50.0
Performance Avg
36.3
35
Quality of Victory
35
100
Momentum Score
20
Burgos
Rosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.0
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
4.0
6.5
Style: Volume
5.6
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
9
2
Body
0
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
15Distance10
8Clinch0
2Ground0
Burgos
Rosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.3
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
4.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burgos
Rosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
54
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
13/22 fights
Burgos
Rosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
20
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Burgos
Rosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
40%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burgos
Rosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.6
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
BurgosRosa
Strike Zones
Burgos
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRosa
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burgos targets the head (80% of attacks) — Rosa absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Rosa targets the head (90% of attacks) — Burgos absorbs 90% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burgos
RND
Rosa
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Burgos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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