The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale
Las Vegas, USA
9 Apr 2005
Light Heavyweight
VS
86%
Hoger
14%
Southworth
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SH
Sam Hoger
"The Alaskan Assassin"
10 – 4
6'2"Orthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
BS
Bobby Southworth
10 – 6
Well-Rounded56 yrsOrthodox6'2"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Hoger

Hoger is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Hoger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 37 points.

Hoger has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Hoger
Southworth
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
6'2"
45+
Age
56
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hoger
Southworth
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.0
2.7
38.3
Performance Avg
0.0
37
Quality of Victory
0
50
Momentum Score
0
Hoger
Southworth
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.1
22%
Strike Accuracy
18%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground1
Hoger
Southworth
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.2
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hoger
Southworth
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
98
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/14 fights
Chin rating based on
1/16 fights
Hoger
Southworth
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hoger
Southworth
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hoger
Southworth
Striking0.8 / 0.0Volume4.8 / 0.0Grappling5.2 / 0.0Wrestling3.6 / 0.0Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Hoger
Strike Zones
Southworth
Hoger
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 absorbed
Southworth
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY1LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hoger targets the head (100% of attacks) — Southworth absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Southworth targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hoger absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hoger
RND
Southworth
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Hoger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0104.5W5.5L5.2W5.5L5.5L2005-042005-082005-112006-042007-02
WinLossTrend

Hoger · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Lyoto MachidaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 67: All or Nothing · 2007-02
L · Dec · R3
Rashad EvansRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 4 · 2006-04
W · Sub · R2
Jeff NewtonRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 56: Full Force · 2005-11
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · Dec · R3
Bobby SouthworthRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04

Southworth · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Sam HogerRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04

News & Media

Sam Hoger · Bobby Southworth
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