UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
20 Jan 2021
Flyweight
VS
78%
22%
Adashev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge:
is a strong favourite at 78% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 35 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Adashev has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Adashev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'5"
72"+
Reach
65"
30+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Adashev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.6
13.1
42.5
Performance Avg
25.0
31
Quality of Victory
25
75
Momentum Score
17
Adashev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
37%
2.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
3
Body
1
6
Leg
2
RangeRange
18Distance8
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Adashev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Adashev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
54
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
3
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/26 fights
Chin rating based on
4/8 fights
Adashev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
17
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Adashev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
17%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Adashev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.8
7.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.5
Strike Zones
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedAdashev
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯 targets the head (50% of attacks) — Adashev absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Adashev targets the head (63% of attacks) — absorbs 63% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
RND
Adashev
0/0R00/0
· QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Adashev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.7WinLossTrend
· Last 5
Upcoming
Alex PerezUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Jesus AguilarRating 5.4Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Kevin BorjasRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Mitch RaposoRating 4.5Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Charles JohnsonRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
Adashev · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Ode OsbourneRating 2.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Ryan BenoitRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Strickland · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
SumudaerjiRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01
L · KO · R1
Tyson NamRating 1.7KO/TKO
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