METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Nashville, USA
1 Apr 2009
Middleweight
VS
89%
Simpson
11%
McKenzie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Aaron SimpsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:40
def. Tim McKenzie · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Simpson
→
Actual result
Simpson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Simpson is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Simpson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Simpson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Simpson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SimpsonMcKenzie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Simpson
McKenzie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
52
Age
+43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simpson
McKenzie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.2
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Simpson
McKenzie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
0.4
49%
Strike Accuracy
25%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
2Clinch0
11Ground0
Simpson
McKenzie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simpson
McKenzie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/23 fights
Simpson
McKenzie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Simpson
McKenzie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simpson
McKenzie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SimpsonMcKenzie
Strike Zones
Simpson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMcKenzie
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simpson targets the head (69% of attacks) — McKenzie absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯McKenzie targets the head (100% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simpson
RND
McKenzie
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Simpson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Simpson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferRating 4.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 4.5Decision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
McKenzie · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Aaron SimpsonRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04