METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Nashville, USA
1 Apr 2009
Middleweight
VS
89%
Simpson
11%
McKenzie
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:40
★ Official Result
Aaron SimpsonwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:40
def. Tim McKenzie · UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Simpson
→
Actual result
Simpson wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Simpson is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Simpson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 34 points.
Risk flags
Simpson's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
SimpsonMcKenzie
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Simpson
McKenzie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+74"
52
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Simpson
McKenzie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.5
2.2
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
34
Quality of Victory
0
76
Momentum Score
0
Simpson
McKenzie
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.9
Style: Pressure
0.0
7.0
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
1
3
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
2Clinch0
11Ground0
Simpson
McKenzie
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Simpson
McKenzie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
78
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/17 fights
Chin rating based on
1/23 fights
Simpson
McKenzie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
0
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
Simpson
McKenzie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Simpson
McKenzie
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
SimpsonMcKenzie
Strike Zones
Simpson
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMcKenzie
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Simpson targets the head (69% of attacks) — McKenzie absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯McKenzie targets the head (100% of attacks) — Simpson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Simpson
RND
McKenzie
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Simpson · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceKO/TKO
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
W · Dec · R3
Kenny RobertsonDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · 2012-07
L · Dec · R3
Ronny MarkesDecision
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Ellenberger · 2012-02
W · Dec · R3
Eric SchaferDecision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresDecision
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · 2011-07
McKenzie · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Aaron SimpsonKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann · 2009-04