METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Wichita, USA
9 Mar 2019
Featherweight
VS
62%
Dawson
38%
Erosa
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Grant DawsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Julian Erosa · UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dos Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dawson
→
Actual result
Dawson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Dawson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Erosa has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Dawson's chin rating of 56 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Erosa has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DawsonErosa
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dawson
Erosa
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+74"
32+
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Dawson
Erosa
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.1
39.6
57.5
Performance Avg
46.2
39
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
26
Dawson
Erosa
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
3.2
/ 10
6.7
Style: Pressure
6.2
5.0
Style: Volume
3.7
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
5
0
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
0Clinch0
17Ground2
Dawson
Erosa
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
4.4
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.0
4.2
Submission Style (/10)
4.4
5
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dawson
Erosa
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
56
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/27 fights
Chin rating based on
18/45 fights
Dawson
Erosa
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R1
Dawson
Erosa
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
67%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dawson
Erosa
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
4.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.2
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
DawsonErosa
Strike Zones
Dawson
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedErosa
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dawson targets the head (90% of attacks) — Erosa absorbs 90% of strikes there
🎯Erosa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Dawson absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dawson
RND
Erosa
0/0R00/0
Dawson · Last 5
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