UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Middleweight
VS
52%
Vettori
48%
Holland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Vettori
This is a genuine toss-up — Vettori at 52% vs Holland at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Holland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Vettori throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Vettori
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+81"
32+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vettori
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
47.0
40.0
Performance Avg
49.3
31
Quality of Victory
44
84
Momentum Score
51
Vettori
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Vettori
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
6
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Vettori
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
51
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Vettori
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
69%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Vettori
Holland
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
VettoriHolland
Strike Zones
Vettori
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedHolland
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Vettori
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0
Vettori · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Holland · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Vettori · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5Decision
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Holland · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4Decision
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UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
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W · Dec · R3
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