UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland
Las Vegas, USA
10 Apr 2021
Middleweight
VS
52%
Vettori
48%
Holland
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Marvin
Marvin Vettori
"The Italian Dream"
1910
6'0"74" reachSouthpaw32 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 50
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
2915
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Vettori

This is a genuine toss-up — Vettori at 52% vs Holland at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Holland has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Vettori throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vettori
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
74"
Reach
+81"
32+
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vettori
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.2
47.0
40.0
Performance Avg
49.3
31
Quality of Victory
44
84
Momentum Score
51
Vettori
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
48%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
0Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Vettori
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
3.6
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
2.2
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
2
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vettori
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
6
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
Strikes absorbed / min
19/29 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Vettori
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
84
51
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Vettori
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
22%
69%
0
KO / TKO Wins
5
2
Submission Wins
6
7
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vettori
Holland
Striking1.1 / 4.3Volume7.3 / 3.6Grappling3.6 / 3.8Wrestling2.5 / 2.6Submission2.2 / 3.8Pressure3.1 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
2.2
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Vettori
Strike Zones
Holland
Vettori
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Holland
Attacking
2HEAD0BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY0LEGS0 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holland targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vettori absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vettori
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0

Vettori · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5L4.5W6.9L4.5W4.5W5.0W5.4W5.1W6.9L5.5W6.4L5.9W6.5L6.9L6.8L7.1L2016-082019-102021-102025-072025-12
WinLossTrend

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Vettori · Last 5

Upcoming
Ismail Naurdiev
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres · 2026-06
L · Dec · R3
Brunno FerreiraRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Brendan AllenRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R5
Roman DolidzeRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Jared CannonierRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Marvin Vettori · Kevin Holland
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