★ Championship Bout · Light Heavyweight
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
21 Jan 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
41%
Teixeira
59%
Hill
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
This is a genuine toss-up — Teixeira at 41% vs Hill at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Hill throws more volume but Teixeira connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Teixeira's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill has a chin rating of 32 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Teixeira
Hill
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'4"
76"
Reach
+79"
46
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Teixeira
Hill
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.8
60.4
58.4
Performance Avg
54.2
51
Quality of Victory
50
59
Momentum Score
92
Teixeira
Hill
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.7
52%
Strike Accuracy
51%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.9
5 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
9
2
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance5
0Clinch0
3Ground7
Teixeira
Hill
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Teixeira
Hill
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
32
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
23/42 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Teixeira
Hill
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
92
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R4
Teixeira
Hill
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
67%
5
KO / TKO Wins
4
7
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Teixeira
Hill
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.9
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
TeixeiraHill
Strike Zones
Teixeira
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedHill
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Teixeira targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Hill targets the head (75% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Teixeira
RND
Hill
0/0R00/0
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05
Hill · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Khalil Rountree Jr.Rating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
L · KO · R3
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
L · KO · R1
Alex PereiraRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
W · Dec · R5
Glover TeixeiraRating 4.9Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
W · KO · R4
Thiago SantosRating 5.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08