UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
Atlantic City, USA
30 Mar 2024
Welterweight
VS
53%
Luque
47%
Buckley
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Luque
This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 53% vs Buckley at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Luque has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Buckley has a chin rating of 28 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Luque
Buckley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
+76"
34
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Luque
Buckley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
64.9
58.0
57.2
Performance Avg
50.6
50
Quality of Victory
41
100
Momentum Score
100
Luque
Buckley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.6
53%
Strike Accuracy
41%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
35
0
Body
3
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
6Distance6
0Clinch0
0Ground34
Luque
Buckley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
2.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Luque
Buckley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
28
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/36 fights
Chin rating based on
17/29 fights
Luque
Buckley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Luque
Buckley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
55%
7
KO / TKO Wins
6
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Buckley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
LuqueBuckley
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
40 absorbedBuckley
Attacking
40 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (50% of attacks) — Buckley absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Buckley targets the head (88% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Buckley
0/0R00/0
Luque · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Buckley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Luque · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.3Submission
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandRating 3.4Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboRating 5.4Submission
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L · KO · R2
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UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · 2024-03
Buckley · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean BradyRating 6.6Decision
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 6.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 5.6UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1KO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Nursulton RuziboevRating 6.4Decision
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