METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Flyweight
VS
44%
Scoggins
56%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dustin OrtizwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Justin Scoggins · The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ortiz
→
Actual result
Ortiz wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Scoggins at 44% vs Ortiz at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ScogginsOrtiz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Scoggins
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
17.0
38.0
Performance Avg
46.9
34
Quality of Victory
40
39
Momentum Score
45
Scoggins
Ortiz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
3.1
Style: Pressure
5.2
6.9
Style: Volume
5.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
7Clinch3
1Ground0
Scoggins
Ortiz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Scoggins
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Scoggins
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Scoggins
Ortiz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
ScogginsOrtiz
Strike Zones
Scoggins
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedOrtiz
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Scoggins
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0
Scoggins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoDecision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
Ortiz · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaDecision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04