The Ultimate Fighter: Team Edgar vs. Team Penn Finale
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2014
Flyweight
VS
44%
Scoggins
56%
Ortiz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JS
Justin Scoggins
11 – 5
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
DO
Dustin Ortiz
19 – 8
Well-Rounded37 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ortiz

This is a genuine toss-up — Scoggins at 44% vs Ortiz at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Scoggins has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Scoggins's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Scoggins
Ortiz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
66"+
Reach
65"
34+
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Scoggins
Ortiz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.5
17.2
38.0
Performance Avg
47.8
34
Quality of Victory
42
39
Momentum Score
45
Scoggins
Ortiz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.2
63%
Strike Accuracy
43%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
5
3
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance4
7Clinch3
1Ground0
Scoggins
Ortiz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Scoggins
Ortiz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
3
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/16 fights
Chin rating based on
14/27 fights
Scoggins
Ortiz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
Scoggins
Ortiz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Scoggins
Ortiz
Striking3.4 / 6.1Volume6.9 / 5.1Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.1 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Scoggins
Strike Zones
Ortiz
Scoggins
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Ortiz
Attacking
5HEAD2BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Scoggins targets the head (75% of attacks) — Ortiz absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Ortiz targets the head (71% of attacks) — Scoggins absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Scoggins
RND
Ortiz
0/0R00/0

Scoggins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L4.5W4.5W3.2L2.8L6.9L2013-122014-092016-112018-07
WinLossTrend

Ortiz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W3.6L5.0W5.8W5.2W5.5L2013-112014-112016-122018-072019-01
WinLossTrend

Scoggins · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Said NurmagomedovRating 6.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Sub · R2
Yuta SasakiRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Sub · R2
Pedro MunhozRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Ray BorgRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
W · Dec · R3
Josh SampoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

Ortiz · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joseph BenavidezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Matheus NicolauRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2 · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Alexandre PantojaRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
W · KO · R1
Hector SandovalRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pettis vs. Moreno · 2017-08
L · Sub · R2
Brandon MorenoRating 3.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04

News & Media

Justin Scoggins · Dustin Ortiz
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