UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva
San Antonio, USA
13 Sept 2025
Featherweight
VS
48%
Lopes
52%
Silva
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:48
Diego
Diego Lopes
27 – 8
5'11"72" reachOrthodox31 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 61
Jean
Jean Silva
"Lord"
17 – 3
Striker29 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'7"
CFR 67

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

This is a genuine toss-up — Lopes at 48% vs Silva at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Lopes
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
69"
31
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lopes
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
61.4
66.7
55.6
Performance Avg
61.7
48
Quality of Victory
46
69
Momentum Score
87
Lopes
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
2.5
49%
Strike Accuracy
57%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
3 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
27
Head
21
1
Body
8
3
Leg
4
RangeRange
17Distance32
1Clinch1
13Ground0
Lopes
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lopes
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
94
78
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/35 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Lopes
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
69
87
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
W · R3
Lopes
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
3
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Lopes
Silva
Striking6.3 / 6.7Volume4.0 / 3.0Grappling2.1 / 1.7Wrestling1.5 / 1.2Submission1.7 / 1.7Pressure6.7 / 7.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
6.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.0
Lopes
Strike Zones
Silva
Lopes
Attacking
27HEAD1BODY3LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD8BODY4LEGS33 absorbed
Silva
Attacking
21HEAD8BODY4LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD1BODY3LEGS31 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Lopes targets the head (87% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (64% of attacks) — Lopes absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Lopes
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Lopes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 6.2
0106.8L5.0W6.0W5.8W5.2W5.9W7.0L6.7W7.0L2023-052024-042025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W6.0W5.7W5.5W6.3W3.4L5.9W2024-012024-072025-042026-01
WinLossTrend

Lopes · Last 5

Upcoming
Steve Garcia
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · KO · R2
Jean SilvaRating 6.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R5
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 7
Decision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · Dec · R3
Brian OrtegaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 306: Riyadh Season Noche UFC · 2024-09

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · KO · R2
Diego LopesRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Sub · R2
Bryce MitchellRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R1
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · 2025-02
W · R3
Drew DoberRating 5.7
UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07

News & Media

Diego Lopes · Jean Silva
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