UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Catch Weight
VS
66%
Wood
34%
Kenney
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nathaniel
Nathaniel Wood
"The Last Kingsman"
23 – 6
5'6"69" reachOrthodox33 yrs4-fight win streakWell-Rounded
CFR 51
CK
Casey Kenney
16 – 4
Well-Rounded2-fight slide35 yrsSouthpaw68" reach5'7"
CFR 26

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Wood

Wood holds a meaningful edge at 66% per the CFR ratings — but Kenney has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wood has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Wood
Kenney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wood
Kenney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.6
25.8
50.2
Performance Avg
43.5
31
Quality of Victory
31
60
Momentum Score
55
Wood
Kenney
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.6
55%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
19
3
Body
7
12
Leg
3
RangeRange
35Distance26
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Wood
Kenney
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Wood
Kenney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Wood
Kenney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
55
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Wood
Kenney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wood
Kenney
Striking1.6 / 1.3Volume7.4 / 7.7Grappling3.9 / 3.5Wrestling2.8 / 2.5Submission2.7 / 2.0Pressure4.3 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Wood
Strike Zones
Kenney
Wood
Attacking
22HEAD3BODY12LEGS37 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD7BODY3LEGS29 absorbed
Kenney
Attacking
19HEAD7BODY3LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD3BODY12LEGS37 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (59% of attacks) — Kenney absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Kenney targets the head (66% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 66% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wood
RND
Kenney
0/0R00/0

Wood · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.5W5.2W4.0L5.3W5.5L4.5W5.3W5.2W6.7L5.4W5.7W6.0W4.5W2018-062020-072023-072025-102026-03
WinLossTrend

Kenney · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0104.5W4.5W6.8L5.0W5.1W5.3W5.5L6.8L2019-032020-022020-102021-032021-08
WinLossTrend

Wood · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Losene KeitaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Jose DelgadoRating 6
Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Morgan CharriereRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad NaimovRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Kenney · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Song YadongRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Dominick CruzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
Nathaniel WoodRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
AlatengheiliRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
W · Sub · R1
Louis SmolkaRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05

News & Media

Nathaniel Wood · Casey Kenney
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