METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
24 Oct 2020
Catch Weight
VS
75%
Wood
25%
Kenney
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Casey KenneywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nathaniel Wood · UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Wood
→
Actual result
Kenney wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Wood is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WoodKenney
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Wood
Kenney
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'7"
69"+
Reach
68"
33+
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Wood
Kenney
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.3
16.4
48.1
Performance Avg
43.5
31
Quality of Victory
31
60
Momentum Score
55
Wood
Kenney
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
4.1
Style: Pressure
3.3
7.3
Style: Volume
7.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
19
3
Body
7
12
Leg
3
RangeRange
35Distance26
2Clinch2
0Ground1
Wood
Kenney
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
2.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
2.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Wood
Kenney
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
94
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
11 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/29 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Wood
Kenney
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
60
55
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Wood
Kenney
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
27%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Wood
Kenney
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
2.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
4.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
WoodKenney
Strike Zones
Wood
Attacking
37 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedKenney
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
37 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Wood targets the head (59% of attacks) — Kenney absorbs 59% of strikes there
🎯Kenney targets the head (66% of attacks) — Wood absorbs 66% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Wood
RND
Kenney
0/0R00/0
Wood · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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Kenney · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Song YadongDecision
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L · Dec · R3
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UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
W · Dec · R3
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UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje · 2020-10
W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
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