The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2009
Catch Weight
VS
43%
Ferguson
57%
Alexander
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KF
Kevin Ferguson
"Kimbo Slice"
5 – 2
6'2"77" reachOrthodox52 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
HA
Houston Alexander
"The Assassin"
17 – 15
Knockout Artist4-fight slide54 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 18

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Alexander

This is a genuine toss-up — Ferguson at 43% vs Alexander at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Alexander has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 35 points.

Alexander has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Alexander has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ferguson
Alexander
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
72"
52+
Age
54
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Ferguson
Alexander
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.6
18.4
35.0
Performance Avg
49.3
25
Quality of Victory
60
55
Momentum Score
46
Ferguson
Alexander
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
2.5
34%
Strike Accuracy
54%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
10
3
Body
0
0
Leg
10
RangeRange
7Distance17
2Clinch1
2Ground2
Ferguson
Alexander
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ferguson
Alexander
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
42
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/7 fights
Chin rating based on
6/32 fights
Ferguson
Alexander
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
55
46
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Ferguson
Alexander
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ferguson
Alexander
Striking1.0 / 10.0Volume9.0 / 0.7Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.5 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
9.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
Ferguson
Strike Zones
Alexander
Ferguson
Attacking
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD0BODY10LEGS20 absorbed
Alexander
Attacking
10HEAD0BODY10LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD3BODY0LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ferguson targets the head (73% of attacks) — Alexander absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯Alexander targets the head (50% of attacks) — Ferguson absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ferguson
RND
Alexander
0/0R00/0

Ferguson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.6
0104.5W2.8L2009-122010-05
WinLossTrend

Alexander · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0105.0W5.0W1.5L1.5L1.5L5.5L2007-052007-092007-112008-042008-092009-12
WinLossTrend

Ferguson · Last 2

L · KO · R2
Matt MitrioneRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
W · Dec · R3
Houston AlexanderRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12

Alexander · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kevin FergusonRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12
L · Sub · R1
Eric SchaferRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R1
James IrvinRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 78: Validation · 2007-11
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 75: Champion vs Champion · 2007-09

News & Media

Kevin Ferguson · Houston Alexander
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