METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
93%
Gouveia
7%
Petruzelli
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:39
★ Official Result
Wilson GouveiawinsSubmissionR2 · 0:39
def. Seth Petruzelli · UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gouveia
→
Actual result
Gouveia wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Gouveia is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gouveia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Risk flags
Gouveia's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petruzelli has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GouveiaPetruzelli
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
1.5
56.2
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
1.2
Style: Volume
0.0
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GouveiaPetruzelli
Strike Zones
Gouveia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPetruzelli
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gouveia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petruzelli absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Petruzelli targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gouveia
RND
Petruzelli
0/0R00/0
Gouveia · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherKO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtKO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicKO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
Petruzelli · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Karlos VemolaKO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Ricardo RomeroSubmission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Sub · R2
Wilson GouveiaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillDecision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10