UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard
Las Vegas, USA
5 Apr 2007
Light Heavyweight
VS
93%
Gouveia
7%
Petruzelli
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:39
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Gouveia
Gouveia is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Gouveia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 54 points.
Gouveia has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Gouveia's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Petruzelli has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
76"
Reach
76"
47
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.0
1.5
56.2
Performance Avg
0.0
54
Quality of Victory
0
72
Momentum Score
0
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.5
42%
Strike Accuracy
37%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/22 fights
Chin rating based on
4/22 fights
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gouveia
Petruzelli
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
1.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GouveiaPetruzelli
Strike Zones
Gouveia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedPetruzelli
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gouveia targets the head (100% of attacks) — Petruzelli absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Petruzelli targets the head (50% of attacks) — Gouveia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gouveia
RND
Petruzelli
0/0R00/0
Gouveia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Petruzelli · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.2WinLossTrend
Gouveia · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alan BelcherRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
L · KO · R3
Nate MarquardtRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 95: Sanchez vs Stevenson · 2009-02
W · KO · R1
Jason MacDonaldRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Nogueira vs. Team Mir Finale · 2008-12
W · Sub · R2
Ryan JensenRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Diaz vs Neer · 2008-09
L · KO · R2
Goran ReljicRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 84: Ill Will · 2008-05
Petruzelli · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Karlos VemolaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami · 2010-11
L · Sub · R2
Ricardo RomeroRating 2.8Submission
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin · 2010-07
L · Sub · R2
Wilson GouveiaRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Stevenson vs Guillard · 2007-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5Decision
Ortiz vs Shamrock 3: The Final Chapter · 2006-10