UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson
Saitama, Japan
20 Sept 2014
Welterweight
VS
93%
Lim
7%
Sato
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lim
Lim is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lim has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Lim has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lim's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Sato has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lim
Sato
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
5'10"
77"
Reach
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Lim
Sato
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.5
1.6
52.1
Performance Avg
0.0
58
Quality of Victory
0
65
Momentum Score
0
Lim
Sato
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.3
0.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
33%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
0Distance1
3Clinch0
7Ground0
Lim
Sato
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Lim
Sato
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
56
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/20 fights
Chin rating based on
2/30 fights
Lim
Sato
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
0
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Lim
Sato
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lim
Sato
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
0.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LimSato
Strike Zones
Lim
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedSato
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lim targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sato absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sato targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Lim absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lim
RND
Sato
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Lim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Sato · QOF Timeline
Avg: 1.5WinLossTrend
Lim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Daichi AbeRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saint Preux vs. Okami · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Mike PerryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · 2015-05
W · KO · R1
Takenori SatoRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R5
Tarec SaffiedineRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01
Sato · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Hyun Gyu LimRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · KO · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Mousasi · 2014-02