UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
Houston, USA
15 May 2021
Lightweight
VS
94%
Giagos
6%
Soriano
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 0:59
Christos
Christos Giagos
"The Spartan"
20 – 12
5'10"71" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 39
SS
Sean Soriano
14 – 8
Well-Rounded5-fight slide36 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Giagos

Giagos is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Giagos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Striking split: Giagos throws more volume but Soriano connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Giagos's chin rating of 4 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Soriano has a chin rating of 60 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Giagos
Soriano
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
71"+
Reach
70"
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Giagos
Soriano
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
38.8
2.6
41.0
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
64
Momentum Score
0
Giagos
Soriano
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.8
40%
Strike Accuracy
77%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
3
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Giagos
Soriano
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
3.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Giagos
Soriano
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
4
60
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
4
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
5/22 fights
Giagos
Soriano
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Giagos
Soriano
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Giagos
Soriano
Striking2.5 / 0.0Volume4.9 / 0.0Grappling3.9 / 0.0Wrestling2.7 / 0.0Submission3.3 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Giagos
Strike Zones
Soriano
Giagos
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Soriano
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Giagos targets the head (100% of attacks) — Soriano absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Soriano targets the head (75% of attacks) — Giagos absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Giagos
RND
Soriano
0/0R00/0

Giagos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0101.7L5.0W5.5L4.2L4.5W4.5W6.5L4.5W5.2W3.1L1.7L5.1W3.1L2.8L2014-102018-122021-052023-092024-04
WinLossTrend

Soriano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0102.8L5.5L4.0L2.9L5.8L2014-012014-092015-012021-052021-11
WinLossTrend

Giagos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Ignacio BahamondesRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · Sub · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 3.1
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2 · 2023-09
W · KO · R1
Ricky GlennRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Thiago MoisesRating 1.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Gamrot · 2022-06
L · KO · R1
Arman TsarukyanRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

Soriano · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Shayilan NuerdanbiekeRating 5.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate · 2021-11
L · Sub · R2
Christos GiagosRating 2.9
Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Sub · R3
Charles RosaRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chas SkellyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09
L · Sub · R2
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Saffiedine vs Lim · 2014-01

News & Media

Christos Giagos · Sean Soriano
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