UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jun 2020
Flyweight
VS
20%
Formiga
80%
Perez
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:06
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Perez
Perez is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 46 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Perez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
Perez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Perez has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Formiga
Perez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'6"
67"+
Reach
65"
41
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Formiga
Perez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
60.7
42.7
Performance Avg
52.7
34
Quality of Victory
50
64
Momentum Score
100
Formiga
Perez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
2.3
40%
Strike Accuracy
49%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
17
Head
12
0
Body
2
1
Leg
15
RangeRange
17Distance24
1Clinch5
0Ground0
Formiga
Perez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
4.3
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
3
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Formiga
Perez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
18
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
15/36 fights
Formiga
Perez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
100
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
Formiga
Perez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
75%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
3
Submission Wins
2
6
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Formiga
Perez
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
FormigaPerez
Strike Zones
Formiga
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedPerez
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the head (94% of attacks) — Perez absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Perez targets the legs (52% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Formiga
RND
Perez
0/0R00/0
0/0R20/0
Formiga · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Perez · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Formiga · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10
Perez · Last 5
Upcoming
SumudaerjiUFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo · 2026-05
W · KO · R1
Charles JohnsonRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
L · Sub · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 5.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Tatsuro TairaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Matheus NicolauRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04