METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov
Vancouver, Canada
14 Jun 2014
Welterweight
VS
48%
MacDonald
52%
Woodley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RM
Rory MacDonald
"Red King"
19 – 4
6'0"76" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
TW
Tyron Woodley
"The Chosen One"
19 – 7
Striker4-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'9"
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Tyron Woodley · UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Woodley
→
Actual result
MacDonald wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 48% vs Woodley at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Woodley has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Woodley has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldWoodley
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
MacDonald
Woodley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'9"
76"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Woodley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.4
51.3
Performance Avg
58.9
39
Quality of Victory
58
61
Momentum Score
40
MacDonald
Woodley
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.8
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
6.5
5.8
Style: Volume
3.9
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
3
3
Body
1
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
2Ground0
MacDonald
Woodley
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.2
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Woodley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
58
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/26 fights
MacDonald
Woodley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
40
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R5
L · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
MacDonald
Woodley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
1
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Woodley
Striking4.7 / 6.8Volume5.8 / 3.9Grappling2.2 / 1.7Wrestling1.6 / 1.2Submission1.1 / 1.1Pressure5.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.8
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.9
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Woodley
MacDonald
Attacking
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Woodley
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD3BODY1LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (60% of attacks) — Woodley absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Woodley targets the head (60% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Woodley
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stephen Thompson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie Lawler
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec Saffiedine
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron Woodley
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian Maia
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

Woodley · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Vicente Luque
Submission
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03
L · KO · R5
Colby Covington
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
L · Dec · R5
Gilbert Burns
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Kamaru Usman
Decision
UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith · 2019-03
W · Sub · R2
Darren Till
Submission
UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · 2018-09

News & Media

Rory MacDonald · Tyron Woodley
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