UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis
Seattle, USA
26 Mar 2011
Welterweight
VS
47%
Johnson
53%
Sadollah
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 3:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Sadollah
This is a genuine toss-up — Johnson at 47% vs Sadollah at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Johnson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Sadollah has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Johnson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Johnson
Sadollah
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'10"
75"
Reach
75"
43+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Johnson
Sadollah
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
19.8
48.7
Performance Avg
47.3
55
Quality of Victory
43
59
Momentum Score
93
Johnson
Sadollah
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.8
44%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
32
3
Body
8
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
7Distance6
6Clinch11
0Ground24
Johnson
Sadollah
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.6
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Johnson
Sadollah
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
9 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/30 fights
Chin rating based on
11 fights
Johnson
Sadollah
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
93
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Johnson
Sadollah
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
33%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Johnson
Sadollah
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
8.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.0
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.4
JohnsonSadollah
Strike Zones
Johnson
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedSadollah
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Johnson targets the head (69% of attacks) — Sadollah absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Sadollah targets the head (78% of attacks) — Johnson absorbs 78% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Johnson
RND
Sadollah
0/0R00/0
Johnson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.6WinLossTrend
Sadollah · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Johnson · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Gunnar NelsonRating 2.6Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · KO · R2
Mike SwickRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera · 2012-08
L · Sub · R2
John MaguireRating 2.8Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
W · KO · R1
Clay HarvisonRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Santos · 2011-11
L · KO · R2
Amir SadollahRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Sadollah · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hunt vs Nelson · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
W · Dec · R3
Jorge LopezRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Duane LudwigRating 5.5Decision
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle · 2011-08
W · KO · R2
DaMarques JohnsonRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03